Donbass (Russian border) situation report

 

Please, be advised that the situation around Donbas is becoming tense:

• there are now 150 thousand Ukrainian troops near Donbas (some days ago it was 120 thousand); Donbass has only 35,000 troops that cannot attack Ukraine;

• the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) has finalized the master plan to attack Donbas;

• the USA has delivered 250 tons of military equipment and ammunition (MEA) to UAF;

• 45 more U.S.transport aircraft are to arrive to Ukraine with MEA;

• civil hospitals in Ukraine have been converted into military ones;

• any regular annual vacations for the Ukrainian GIs have been cancelled for indefinite period of time;

• M141 Bunker Defeat Munitions have arrived to the UAF attacking forces (Donbas does not have them; so, it does not have them to attack Ukraine);

• several public protests against war versus Donbas have been staged near the Ukrainian Parliament;

• Kiev continues to violate a ceasefire accord in Donbas: according to the report of the OSCE SMM in Ukraine dated January 28th, 2022 has stated:

OSCE Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine (SMM) Daily Report 20/2022 issued on 28 January 2022
Summary In Donetsk region, the SMM recorded 173 ceasefire violations, including six explosions.
In the previous reporting period, it recorded 510 ceasefire violations in the region.
In Luhansk region, the Mission recorded 93 ceasefire violations, including 13 explosions.

Link: https://www.osce.org/special-monitoring-mission-to-ukraine/510929
 
Kind regards,
Dr. Vladimir Kozin
 
Member, Russian Academy of Military Sciences
Member, Russian Academy of Natural Sciences,
Vice President, Russian National Institute for Global Security Research
Winner of Colonel-General Varfolomei Korobushin Reward (Russian Strategic Missiles Forces) and Russian Academy of Natural Sciences Reward
Leading Expert, Center for Military-Political Studies, Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO)
Ph.D, Senior Researcher (Academic Rank)